Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.509844 1.716432 1.942815 2.209602 2.515799 2.856693 3.265620
2025-11-02 1.160344 1.420593 1.728954 2.122407 2.612746 3.205829 3.980816
2025-11-09 0.910702 1.184571 1.530558 2.002077 2.631595 3.448182 4.595974
2025-11-16 0.767497 1.051619 1.430966 1.978421 2.754774 3.825984 5.432809
2025-11-23 0.654300 0.937761 1.334815 1.937223 2.838051 4.150868 6.237766
2025-11-30 0.602599 0.900126 1.335729 2.028039 3.115886 4.784832 7.587684
2025-12-07 0.550160 0.852714 1.313578 2.077331 3.332525 5.350496 8.914721
2025-12-14 0.493076 0.789831 1.258160 2.064031 3.443246 5.756896 10.036037
2025-12-21 0.433586 0.715269 1.174130 1.990873 3.440836 5.968845 10.845289
2025-12-28 0.410682 0.697808 1.180709 2.070162 3.709071 6.681272 12.667468
2026-01-04 0.390239 0.681766 1.187052 2.148387 3.983547 7.439225 14.693846
2026-01-11 0.366075 0.656191 1.173244 2.187053 4.187374 8.089238 16.606981
2026-01-18 0.342252 0.629483 1.155919 2.219951 4.390719 8.779511 18.750324
2026-01-25 0.309149 0.581951 1.094746 2.160156 4.400896 9.081987 20.114077
2026-02-01 0.274228 0.527216 1.013836 2.050618 4.292809 9.120164 20.888997
2026-02-08 0.253445 0.497958 0.979573 2.032767 4.377378 9.586227 22.743678
2026-02-15 0.232703 0.466603 0.937700 1.993474 4.409036 9.937688 24.382938
2026-02-22 0.226829 0.465058 0.956731 2.088727 4.758032 11.072101 28.201155
2026-03-01 0.217336 0.454884 0.956394 2.140416 5.012316 12.019000 31.712660
2026-03-08 0.203232 0.433362 0.929277 2.127089 5.108028 12.589099 34.310875
2026-03-15 0.185637 0.402484 0.878425 2.051741 5.039972 12.732944 35.737615
2026-03-22 0.181128 0.400406 0.892117 2.133719 5.382949 14.003160 40.695727
2026-03-29 0.176677 0.397996 0.904738 2.214561 5.734638 15.353121 46.179160